本周廣州方管市場(chǎng)價(jià)格持續(xù)下降，市場(chǎng)成交不及預(yù)期；期貨、鋼坯也雙雙呈現(xiàn)震蕩下跌行情。本周周初受當(dāng)?shù)靥鞖庥绊懀掠尾少?gòu) 需求有所減弱，成交偏差；后期期貨鋼坯的持續(xù)走弱也一定程度上影響現(xiàn)貨市場(chǎng)心態(tài)，在供求關(guān)系緊張市場(chǎng)又無(wú)利好消息刺激的情況下，現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格弱勢(shì)震蕩下行難以 支撐維穩(wěn)；另一方面本周又臨近月末，方管廠家難免出于資金結(jié)算、協(xié)議量的壓力而選擇低價(jià)讓利跑量，因此本周廣州現(xiàn)貨市場(chǎng)報(bào)價(jià)持續(xù)下跌，成交也有所減弱。截至今 日廣州方管市場(chǎng)主流降20-30元，原材料方面昌黎鋼坯午后降40現(xiàn)普碳方坯含稅出廠3560。

This week, Guangzhou square tube market prices continued to decline, market turnover was not as expected; futures, billets also showed a concussive downward trend. Influenced by local weather at the beginning of this week, downstream purchasing demand has weakened and trading deviation. The continued weakening of futures billets in the later period also affects the spot market mentality to a certain extent. Under the circumstances of tight supply and demand market and no good news stimulation, the weak spot price fluctuation is difficult to sustain stability. On the other hand, near the end of this week, merchants will inevitably settle out of funds. Due to the pressure of agreement volume and the choice of low price to let the profit run, the quotation in Guangzhou spot market continued to fall this week, and the turnover also weakened. Up to now, the mainstream of Guangzhou square pipe market has fallen by 20-30 yuan. In terms of raw materials, Changli steel billet has fallen by 40 in the afternoon. Now the ordinary carbon billet has been discharged from the factory with tax of 3560.

本周廣州方管庫(kù)存降速明顯放緩；據(jù)29日統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，現(xiàn)廣州方管市場(chǎng)庫(kù)存總量127.43萬(wàn)噸，環(huán)比上周降5.18%，同比 去年漲3.18%。雖然市場(chǎng)表示本周出貨有所減弱，但目前廣州當(dāng)?shù)叵掠蔚慕ㄔO(shè)投資項(xiàng)目在持續(xù)審批開展中；據(jù)了解僅廣州南沙區(qū)就計(jì)劃年內(nèi)完成投資5770億 元，主要項(xiàng)目包括軌道交通、高速快路、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施等。這些“鋼”需及高位的成本支撐著當(dāng)?shù)貎r(jià)格不會(huì)大幅下降，目前影響市場(chǎng)利空的因素主要還是外部風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及內(nèi)部 經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)帶來(lái)的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)下滑壓力以及當(dāng)?shù)赜昙痉e水天氣對(duì)下游工地需求釋放的抑制，總體來(lái)說(shuō)剛性需求依然還是維持在高位水平。目前央行在積極、努力疏通 貨幣傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制，讓釋放出來(lái)的資金實(shí)實(shí)在在的流向民營(yíng)企業(yè)，流向制造業(yè)。雖然外部環(huán)境風(fēng)險(xiǎn)變大，但是國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)還是有信心“穩(wěn)得住”，再依托“粵港澳大灣區(qū)” 國(guó)家級(jí)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃建設(shè)，當(dāng)?shù)匦枨蟛粫?huì)出現(xiàn)所謂的“淡季”，后市鋼材消化能力依然強(qiáng)勁。綜上所述，預(yù)計(jì)下周廣州當(dāng)?shù)胤焦軆r(jià)格或小幅盤整維穩(wěn)運(yùn)行。

This week, Guangzhou Square Pipe Inventory slowed down significantly. According to the statistics of 29 days, the total inventory of Guangzhou Square Pipe Market is 1.2743 million tons, down 5.18% from last week, up 3.18% from last year. Although the market said that shipments weakened this week, construction investment projects in downstream Guangzhou are under continuous approval. It is understood that only Nansha District of Guangzhou will complete the planned investment of 577 billion yuan in the year, including rail transit, expressway, infrastructure and other major projects. These "steel" demand and high cost support the local price will not decline significantly. At present, the main factors affecting market negative are external risks and macroeconomic downward pressure brought by internal economic transformation and upgrading, as well as the local rainy season water weather restraining the release of demand for downstream construction sites. Overall, rigid demand remains at a high level. At present, the central bank is actively and diligently dredging the monetary transmission mechanism so that the released funds actually flow to private enterprises and manufacturing industries. Although the risk of external environment has become greater, the domestic economy is confident that it will be "stable", and relying on the national strategic planning and construction of "Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao Dawan District", the local demand will not appear the so-called "off season", and the steel digestibility in the future is still strong. To sum up, it is expected that Guangzhou local management prices or small consolidation will be stable next week.