本周北京方管市場價格弱勢下跌。截至7月19日，北京市螺線沙龍批量成交指導(dǎo)價 格：Φ8-10mm高線為4800元(噸價，下同)，比上周同期下跌30元。河北鋼鐵集團產(chǎn)Φ12mm三級抗震螺紋鋼為4120元，比上周同期下跌50 元；Φ25mm三級螺鋼為3950元，比上周同期下跌10元。近期英國大選塵埃落地，約翰遜當選英國新首相，引發(fā)市場對于無協(xié)議脫歐風(fēng)險的擔(dān)憂。另一邊，國際貨幣基金組織下調(diào)了今明兩年世界經(jīng)濟的增長預(yù)期， 全球貨幣寬松預(yù)期正在加大，期貨市場震蕩下跌，鋼坯價格小幅回落，北京方管市場價格弱勢下行。近期鋼廠到貨不多，市場資源短缺較多，部分方管廠家惜售，高 溫雨季的影響下，下游采購力度減弱，市場大戶日成交量在100-2000噸。

This week, Beijing Fangguan's market prices fell weakly. As of July 19, Beijing Spiral Salon bulk trading guidance price: 8-10mm high line is 4800 yuan (ton price, the same below), 30 yuan lower than the same period last week. Hebei Iron and Steel Group produced 12mm three-stage aseismic screw steel at 4120 yuan, down 50 yuan from the same period last week; 25mm three-stage screw steel at 3950 yuan, down 10 yuan from the same period last week. Johnson's election as Britain's new prime minister has triggered concerns about the risk of an agreement-free exit from Europe. On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund lowered the growth expectations of the world economy for this year and next two years. Global monetary easing expectations are increasing, futures markets are shaking down, billet prices are slightly falling, and Beijing's square tube market prices are weakening. In recent years, steel mills are short of goods and market resources. Some merchants are reluctant to sell. Under the influence of high temperature and rainy season, downstream purchasing efforts have been weakened. The daily turnover of large market households is 100-2000 tons. 中美貿(mào)易方面有了新的進展。中美雙方正在落實兩國元首大阪峰會期間會晤期間達成的重要共識。近期美方宣布對110項中國輸美工業(yè)品豁免加征關(guān)稅，并且表示愿推動美國企業(yè)為相關(guān)中國企業(yè)繼續(xù)供貨。

New progress has been made in Sino-US trade. China and the United States are implementing the important consensus reached during the meeting between the two heads of state at Osaka Summit. Recently, the United States announced that it would impose tariffs on 110 exemptions for Chinese industrial products imported to the United States, and expressed its willingness to promote American enterprises to continue supplying to relevant Chinese enterprises.

環(huán)保關(guān)于限產(chǎn)又有了新的動向。唐山市發(fā)布了7月下旬全市大氣污染防治加嚴管控措施的通知，7月21日0對至7月31日24時，首鋼遷鋼、沿海區(qū)域 的首鋼京唐、文豐鋼鐵、唐鋼中厚板、德龍鋼鐵、縱橫鋼鐵，涉搬遷的天柱鋼鐵、華西鋼鐵、國義特鋼，停20%的燒結(jié)機(豎爐)裝備。豐南區(qū)、古冶區(qū)、開平 區(qū)、路北區(qū)、灤州市、灤南縣、遷安市鋼鐵企業(yè)停70%的繞結(jié)機(豎爐)裝備，豐潤區(qū)、遷西縣、遵化市鋼鐵企業(yè)停50%的繞結(jié)機(豎爐)裝備。7月26日0 時至7月28日24時，全市鋼鐵企業(yè)燒結(jié)機(豎爐)裝備全部停產(chǎn)，高爐休風(fēng)悶爐。7月22日8時至29日20時，港口集疏運載重貨車禁止進出港區(qū)，鋼鐵、 焦化、水泥企業(yè)不允許運輸車輛進廠區(qū)。

Environmental protection has a new trend in limiting production. Tangshan City issued a notice of stricter control measures for air pollution control in the whole city in late July. From July 21 to July 31, 24:00, Shougang moved to Beijing and Tang, Wenfeng Iron and Steel, Tangshan Iron and Steel Plate, Delong Iron and Steel, Longitudinal and Horizontal Steel, Tianzhu Iron and Steel, Huaxi Iron and Steel and Guoyi Special Steel involved in the relocation stopped 20% of sintering machines. (Shaft furnace) equipment. Fengnan District, Guye District, Kaiping District, Lubei District, Luanzhou City, Luannan County, Qian'an City iron and steel enterprises stop 70% of winding machine (shaft furnace) equipment, Fengrun District, Qianxi County, Zunhua City iron and steel enterprises stop 50% of winding machine (shaft furnace) equipment. From 0:00 on July 26 to 24:00 on July 28, all sintering machines (shaft furnaces) in iron and steel enterprises in the city were shut down and the blast furnaces were closed. From 8:00 on July 22 to 20:00 on July 29, the harbour collection and distribution trucks are prohibited from entering and leaving the harbour area, and the steel, coking and cement enterprises are not allowed to enter the factory area for transport vehicles.

全球貨幣寬松預(yù)期正在加大，歐央行、澳洲央行將出會議決議，在此大的背景下，也增加了國內(nèi)降準甚至降息的概率?？傮w來看，整體市場在低位運行，由 于各種不確定因素今年尤其多，所以市場反復(fù)震蕩的大基調(diào)暫不會有太大的改觀。高溫、雨季等鋼市銷售淡季的影響下，預(yù)計下周北京方管市場價格將呈小幅調(diào)整的 態(tài)勢。

The expectation of global monetary easing is increasing, and the ECB and the RBA will meet to decide on a resolution. In this context, it also increases the probability of domestic benchmark reduction or even interest rate reduction. Generally speaking, the overall market is operating at a low level. Due to various uncertainties, especially this year, the general tone of repeated market shocks will not change much for the time being. Influenced by the off-season sales of steel market such as high temperature and rainy season, it is expected that the price of square pipe market in Beijing will adjust slightly next week.