本周上海方管價(jià)格小幅下調(diào)運(yùn)行,周初從價(jià)格方面來看,熱卷期貨價(jià)格出現(xiàn)泛紅,但現(xiàn)貨市場價(jià)格持續(xù)下跌趨勢。據(jù)方管廠家反映,周初新資源逐漸陸續(xù)到貨,堪比前期缺貨情況小幅好轉(zhuǎn)。但市場成交面較為清淡,大戶出貨在700噸左右,目前部分方管廠家都已有放假情況,下游需求較為薄弱。
周中,上海冷軋現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格出現(xiàn)上漲趨勢,上漲幅度在30-50元/噸。據(jù)方管廠家反饋,受熱卷期貨價(jià)格連續(xù)泛紅影響,冷系方管廠家心態(tài)有所提振,且在庫存不均的情況下,一些大戶挺價(jià)意愿強(qiáng)烈。方管廠家方面來看,鞍鋼、首鋼出臺(tái)1月份期貨價(jià)格結(jié)算政策,其中到上海的實(shí)際成本分別在5800元/噸左右,當(dāng)前的現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格與之倒掛近200-300元/噸,成本壓力逐步顯現(xiàn)。不過臨近春節(jié),下游需求采購積極性減弱明顯,市場方管廠家整體成交一般。
周后期,上海冷軋市場出現(xiàn)小幅回調(diào)趨勢,通過和方管廠家聯(lián)系得到的反饋,熱卷期貨價(jià)格出現(xiàn)大幅下調(diào),但方管廠家對(duì)節(jié)后價(jià)格走勢有所看漲,部分方管廠家紛紛選擇被動(dòng)囤貨,也顯示出整體謹(jǐn)慎樂觀的心態(tài),有助于節(jié)后價(jià)格支撐。庫存方面來看,目前上海冷軋庫存24.16萬噸,比上周增加0.12萬噸,周環(huán)比0.49%。整體來看,預(yù)計(jì)下周上海方管價(jià)格將保持暫穩(wěn)運(yùn)行趨勢。
方管價(jià)格方面,截至1月29日,上海1.0mm方管平均價(jià)格為5430元(噸價(jià),下同),較上周同期價(jià)格下調(diào)10元,較上月同期價(jià)格下調(diào)410元。
This week, the Shanghai Fangguan price slightly down operation, early in the week from the price point of view, hot futures prices appear red, but the spot market prices continue to decline. According to the square tube manufacturers, the new resources gradually arrived at the beginning of the week, which was comparable to the shortage situation in the early stage. However, the market turnover is relatively light, and the large-scale shipment is about 700 tons. At present, some square tube manufacturers have holidays, and the downstream demand is relatively weak.
In the middle of the week, the spot price of Shanghai cold rolling showed an upward trend, with an increase range of 30-50 yuan / ton. According to the feedback of the square tube manufacturers, affected by the continuous reddening of hot-rolled futures prices, the mentality of cold-rolled square tube manufacturers has been boosted, and in the case of uneven inventory, some large households have strong willingness to support prices. From the perspective of square tube manufacturers, Angang and Shougang have issued the futures price settlement policy in January, in which the actual cost to Shanghai is about 5800 yuan / ton respectively, and the current spot price is nearly 200-300 yuan / ton upside down, so the cost pressure is gradually emerging. However, near the Spring Festival, the downstream demand purchasing enthusiasm weakened significantly, and the overall transaction of market merchants was general.
At the end of the week, Shanghai cold rolling market showed a slight correction trend. Through the feedback from the square tube manufacturers, the price of hot coil futures decreased significantly. However, the square tube manufacturers were bullish on the price trend after the festival, and some square tube manufacturers chose to store goods passively, which also showed the overall cautious and optimistic attitude, which helped to support the price after the festival. In terms of inventory, at present, the inventory of Shanghai cold rolling is 241600 tons, an increase of 12000 tons compared with last week, and the weekly cycle ratio is 0.49%. On the whole, it is expected that the price of Shanghai Fangguan will remain stable next week.
As for square tube prices, as of January 29, the average price of 1.0 mm square tube in Shanghai was 5430 yuan (ton price, the same below), 10 yuan lower than that of the same period last week and 410 yuan lower than that of the same period last month.
上海方管價(jià)格將保持暫穩(wěn)運(yùn)行趨勢廠家整體成交一般 | |||||||
品名 | 規(guī)格(mm) | 材質(zhì) | 產(chǎn)地 | 價(jià)格(元/噸) | 漲跌 | 備注 | |
方管 | 30*30*2.5 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4930 | |||
方管 | 50*50*2.75 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4800 | |||
方管 | 120*120*4 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4890 | |||
方管 | 200*200*8 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 5020 | |||
矩形管 | 30*50*2.5 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4820 | |||
矩形管 | 40*80*3.0 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4820 | |||
矩形管 | 80*120*3.0 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4810 | |||
矩形管 | 100*150*4.75 | Q195-235 | 天津友發(fā) | 4920 |
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