本周方管市場價(jià)格窄幅震蕩,較上周同期基本持平。價(jià)格方面,9月12日國內(nèi)方管卷板均價(jià)3730元(噸價(jià),下同),較上周同期漲4元。本周行情圍繞利好消息與需求掣肘展開,周初在央行降準(zhǔn)預(yù)期和伊朗鐵礦關(guān)稅帶動下,期貨躥紅,方管現(xiàn)貨小幅上漲,成交轉(zhuǎn)好。中后期行情趨弱,特別是 臨近中秋放假,商家為盡快出貨成交,有意壓低價(jià)格。本周各地出貨出現(xiàn)些許好轉(zhuǎn),華北地區(qū)大戶出貨300-500噸,大戶出貨1千噸以上,華南和華東在 400-500噸,較八月份已有明顯增強(qiáng)。據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì),本周方管廠社庫存出現(xiàn)下降,其中社庫下降3.56萬噸,廠庫降5.2噸。鋼廠方面,沙鋼明日正式例行檢 修11天,包鋼CSP軋線檢修正常,北方方管線開工率較上周基本持平。廠庫和社庫下降原因在于本周出貨較上周出現(xiàn)好轉(zhuǎn),盡管產(chǎn)量攀上343萬噸年內(nèi)新高, 但隨著九月份需求的抬頭,使得庫存稍有下降。
This week's market price shocks were narrow and basically flat compared with the same period last week. On the price side, the average price of domestic pipe coiled sheet on September 12 was 3730 yuan (ton price, the same below), which was 4 yuan higher than the same period last week. This week's market revolved around good news and demand constraints. Early in the week, futures rose sharply, while spot prices rose slightly and turnover improved, driven by the central bank's reduction expectations and Iranian iron ore tariffs. In the middle and late period, the market tended to weaken, especially near the Mid-Autumn Festival holidays. In order to complete the shipment as soon as possible, the merchants intentionally lowered the price. Shipments around the country improved slightly this week, with 300-500 tons shipped by large households in North China, more than 1,000 tons shipped by large households, and 400-500 tons shipped by South and East China, which has increased significantly compared with August. According to statistics, the stock of Fangguan factories decreased this week, including 35,600 tons of social storehouse and 5.2 tons of factory storehouse. For steel mills, Shagang will officially conduct 11 days of routine overhaul tomorrow, and Baotou Steel's CSP rolling line will be regularly inspected and revised. The starting rate of pipelines in the north is basically the same as last week. The reason for the decline in warehouses and social warehouses is that shipments improved this week compared with last week. Although production climbed to a new high of 3.43 million tons in a year, stocks fell slightly as demand rose in September. 目前華北方管價(jià)格3670-3690元,上海方管3660-3680元,廣州3810元左右。
At present, the price of Huabei Square Pipe is 3670-3690 yuan, Shanghai Square Pipe is 3660-3680 yuan and Guangzhou Square Pipe is 3810 yuan.
值得一提的是,本周螺紋鋼廠社庫存各降30多萬噸,引爆期貨拉漲情緒,也帶動期卷強(qiáng)勢上攻,節(jié)前最后一個(gè)下午價(jià)格拉漲,方管現(xiàn)貨市場停止優(yōu)惠,上 海等地方管廠家有封盤現(xiàn)象。節(jié)后而言,經(jīng)過三天的降溫,方管市場貨再次回到維穩(wěn)格局,但鑒于目前的廠社庫存雙降,供需配置良性轉(zhuǎn)好,價(jià)格或有一定趨強(qiáng)可能。
It is worth mentioning that this week, stocks of thread steel mills fell by more than 300,000 tons each, triggering futures rally sentiment, but also led to a strong upward trend of the term paper. Prices rose in the last afternoon before the festival, the square control spot market ceased to be preferential, and businesses in Shanghai and other places closed the market. After the festival, after three days of cooling down, the square managed the market goods again to maintain a stable pattern, but in view of the current double decline in factory stock, the supply and demand allocation has improved benignly, and the price may become stronger.
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