本周天津鍍鋅方管市場價格繼續(xù)攀高,整體成交量有所轉弱。周內,成本方管市場價格持續(xù)拉漲,加之京津冀區(qū)域限產、關停利好消息的刺激,對天津鍍鋅方管價格的支撐作用有所增強,本地鍍鋅方管價格隨之頻繁上調。從市場了解到,隨著周內價格的持續(xù)上漲,高價資源出貨情況開始回落,成交逐漸趨于收緊。另據悉,由于方管市場散戶價格不斷上探,管廠采購較為謹慎,除了協(xié)議量以外,鎖價提貨很少,致使廠內原料以及成品庫存普遍偏低,對于鍍鋅方管出廠價格的堅挺較為有利。此外,進入12月份,隨著冬季之前建筑工程收尾以及水暖工程修復等,方管剛性需求尚存。后期看來,隨著成本端的逐漸趨穩(wěn),鍍鋅方管市場的漲勢或將止步,因此預計天津鍍鋅方管價格或將進入窄幅盤整階段。
This week, Tianjin galvanized square tube market prices continue to rise, the overall turnover has weakened. During the week, the market price of cost square tube continued to rise, and stimulated by the good news of production restriction and shutdown in Beijing Tianjin Hebei region, the supporting role of Tianjin galvanized square tube price was strengthened, and the local galvanized square tube price was increased frequently. We learned from the market that, with the continuous rise in the price of the week, the situation of high price resource shipment began to fall, and the transaction gradually tended to tighten. It is also reported that due to the continuous increase of retail prices in the square tube market, the pipe manufacturers are more cautious in purchasing. In addition to the agreed volume, the price lock delivery is very few, resulting in the low inventory of raw materials and finished products in the factory, which is more favorable for the firm ex factory price of galvanized square tubes. In addition, in December, with the completion of construction projects before winter and the repair of water heating projects, the rigid demand of square pipes still exists. In the later stage, with the gradual stabilization of the cost side, the growth trend of the galvanized square pipe market may stop. Therefore, it is expected that the price of galvanized square pipe in Tianjin will enter into a narrow consolidation stage.
宏觀方面,據財新傳媒和Markit聯(lián)合公布的數據顯示,2020年11月份,財新中國通用服務業(yè)經營活動指數為57.8%,環(huán)比上升1.0個百分點,為2010年5月以來次高值,僅次于2020年6月。此前公布的11月財新中國制造業(yè)采購經理人指數(PMI)錄得54.9,高于10月1.3個百分點,創(chuàng)十年來新高。在此拉動下,11月財新中國綜合PMI提升1.8個百分點至57.5,創(chuàng)下2010年3月后最強勁增速。11月制造業(yè)和服務業(yè)總體復蘇節(jié)奏繼續(xù)加快,供給、需求兩端同步向好,海外需求持續(xù)保持擴張態(tài)勢,就業(yè)改善十分明顯。市場需求旺盛,制造業(yè)開始主動補庫存,成本和收費兩端價格指數悉數上漲,企業(yè)家信心指數持續(xù)維持高位。預計后疫情時代經濟的恢復還將持續(xù)數月。與此同時,內外部環(huán)境諸多不確定因素仍然存在,疫情期間推出的相關寬松政策的逐步退出還需更加穩(wěn)妥的設計。
On the macro level, according to the data jointly released by Caixin media and Markit, in November 2020, Caixin's China general service industry business activity index was 57.8%, with a month on month increase of 1.0 percentage points, which was the second highest value since May 2010, second only to June 2020. Previously released, Caixin's purchasing managers' index (PMI) of China's manufacturing industry recorded 54.9 in November, 1.3 percentage points higher than that in October, reaching a 10-year high. Driven by this, the comprehensive PMI of Caixin China increased by 1.8 percentage points to 57.5 in November, the strongest growth rate since March 2010. In November, the overall recovery pace of manufacturing and service industries continued to accelerate, supply and demand both sides improved simultaneously, overseas demand continued to expand, and employment improved significantly. With strong market demand, the manufacturing industry began to take the initiative to replenish inventory. The price indexes at both ends of costs and charges rose, and the entrepreneur confidence index remained high. Economic recovery in the post epidemic era is expected to continue for several months. At the same time, many uncertain factors still exist in the internal and external environment, and the gradual withdrawal of the relevant loose policies during the epidemic period needs more stable design.
原料方面,唐山方坯、方管走勢不一。唐山市場普碳150×150鋼坯現金含稅出廠主流報價為3580元,比上周同期下跌40元;唐山方管355mm系列主流報價為4110元,比上周同期上漲80元。成本支撐力度強勁,后期天津鍍鋅方管價格仍有一定的成本支撐。
Raw materials, Tangshan billet, square tube trend is different. In Tangshan market, the mainstream price of 150 × 150 billet including tax in cash was 3580 yuan, 40 yuan lower than the same period last week; the mainstream quotation of 355mm series of Tangshan square tube was 4110 yuan, 80 yuan higher than the same period last week. The cost support is strong, and the later Tianjin galvanized square tube price still has a certain cost support.
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